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Will The ’Stros Continue Their Strong UNDER Trend vs A’s?

Houston vs Oakland Betting Odds

The Houston Astros have won each of Brad Peacock’s last four trips to the mound and they are slight -116 favorites in their series opener against the host Oakland Athletics, who are coming back at -104. Mike Fiers gets the ball for the A’s aiming to pick up a third straight quality start. Tonight’s total opened at 8.5 runs.

Astros vs Athletics Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Houston is 9-5 SU and ATS over its last 14 games and more recently is 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS in its last six. The Astros are 15-12 on the road this season.
  • Oakland is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS over its last 12 contests but enters this game on a two-game skid. The A’s are 18-12 at Oakland Coliseum this year.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Astros’ last 14 matches with an average combined score of 7.21. Meanwhile, the total has gone OVER in six of the Athletics’ last 12 with an average combined score of 10.83. The total has gone UNDER in three of the five meetings between these clubs this season.
  • The Astros are 7-2 over Brad Peacock’s nine starts this season, including winning his last four in a row, and he is 5-2 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP, including two relief appearances. He has four quality starts this season and has allowed just one earned run over his last four outings.
  • He is averaging the lowest BB/9 and HR/9 rates of his career as well as the lowest HR/FB percentage.
  • Opponents are hitting .200 against Peacock and 37.6 percent of the contact has been hard-hit while 15.6 percent has been soft-hit. The A’s rank 13th in hard-hit percentage vs RHP over the last two weeks.
  • Peacock has a 4.58 ERA but an impressive .197 opponent batting average over his five road appearances. He has a lower K/9 rate but higher BB/9 and HR/9 rates in those away games. However, he has a lower percentage of hard-hit batted balls and a higher percentage of soft-hit contact.
  • He has allowed five runs on seven hits over six innings in two outings against Oakland this year.
  • Oakland is 6-6 through Mike Fiers’ 12 trips to the mound in 2019 and he is 4-3 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. He has six quality starts this year, including a no-hitter against Cincinnati on May 7.
  • He is averaging 6.29 K/9, 2.71 BB/9 and 1.71 HR/9 and has a 14.3 HR/FB percentage.
  • Opponents are hitting just .230 against Fiers, which is the lowest average since his 2014 season, but only 13.8 percent of the contact has been soft-hit and 40.5 percent has been hard-hit. The Astros rank 19th in hard-hit percentage vs RHP over the last two weeks.
  • Fiers has been much better at home with a 3.78 ERA and a .198 opponent batting average. He has lower K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates at home while also having a higher percentage of soft-hit batted balls.
  • He was roughed up for six runs on seven hits over just 1.2 innings on the road against Houston on April 7.
  • Oakland is 17-22 against right-handed starters this year, ranking 21st in batting average and 15th in runs scored. Over the last two weeks, the A’s rank 18th in batting average and 15th in runs scored vs righties.
  • Houston is 23-15 against right-handed starters this season, sitting second in batting average and ninth in runs scored. Since May 17, the Astros rank 23rd in batting average and 29th in runs scored vs RHP.

My Best Bet for Houston vs Oakland

UNDER 8.5

Despite having an elevated road ERA, Peacock is restricting opponents to a measly .197 batting average and has a higher percentage of soft-hit contact than at home. Similarly, Fiers has a .198 opponent batting average at home and a respectable ERA of 3.78. The Astros have been a strong UNDER team, scoring the second-fewest runs vs RHP over the last two weeks, and are dealing with a lot of injuries.

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