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Take a Look, Y’all - The Mariners Are Raking

Edwin Encarnacion #10 of the Seattle Mariners celebrates in the dugout after hitting a home run in the third inning during a game between the Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Thursday, March 28, 2019 in Seattle, Washington.

Seattle has the best winning percentage in the majors and set an MLB record by homering in each of its first 15 games, but you wouldn’t know it by the betting line tonight in Washington state. The Astros, four games back of the Mariners in the AL West, are -140 betting favorites. The host M’s are paying +125 on the moneyline with a total opening at 9. So it must be Verlander or Cole on the mound, right? Nope. Wade Miley goes for the ’Stros.

Astros vs Mariners Game Center

Standout Stats

  • The OVER is 11-2-2 in Seattle’s first 15 games, including 6-0-1 in its last seven. Seattle leads MLB in both hits (10.7) and runs (7.8) per game.
  • Wade Miley is 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in three career starts vs Seattle. However, his last win vs the Mariners came on August 15, 2015 when the Red Sox won 22-10. Additionally, this version of the Mariners is hitting .291 with a .873 OPS vs Miley.
  • Seattle is mashing left-handed pitching with eight home runs and a 1.063 OPS in 92 at-bats. That’s the top OPS vs LHP in MLB. The Mariners are 2-0 SU vs left-handed starters while Houston is 3-1.
  • The Mariners are No. 2 in MLB in hitting .358 vs left-handed pitching in the first five innings of games. Houston is No. 3 in this category at .310.
  • Seattle has 18 first five innings runs vs lefties, No. 3 in MLB, and has done it with less than half the plate appearances of the teams ahead of them on the list. The Mariners are available at -115 at +0.5 on the five-inning runline.
  • Seattle and Houston are No. 1 and No. 6 in MLB’s overall OPS rankings. However, Seattle is more than 100 points better than the Astros, .935 vs .819.
  • Seattle has played two more games than Houston but has scored 66 more runs (117-51). Wow.

My Best Bet for Astros vs Mariners

Seattle +125

Everyone, sportsbooks included, seems to still be sleeping on the Seattle Mariners. How can a team that was so bad be so good? Well, they are. Get used to it and get in on it while it’s going good.

There are not many times when you’ll have a chance to get plus-money on the top team in any league playing at home vs a division rival. Did I mention that Seattle has scored more than twice as many runs as the Astros in just two more games played?